What a carbon budget is
A carbon budget caps the net UK carbon account for a five-year period. The net UK carbon account is the UK's net greenhouse gas emissions, adjusted for any carbon units credited or debited. Budgets are measured in million tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (MtCO2e).
Section 4 of the Climate Change Act 2008 gives the Secretary of State two duties: to set a carbon budget for each five-year period starting with 2008 to 2012, and to make sure the net UK carbon account for each period does not exceed it.
Each budget is set by an order approved by both Houses of Parliament. It must be set with a view to meeting the 2050 target, which since 2019 has been net zero: emissions at least 100% below 1990 levels. For periods after 2022, the order must be made by 30 June in the 12th year before the period begins.
Carbon budgets are not a carbon price
A carbon budget limits the whole UK's emissions. It does not charge any business directly. Businesses pay for emissions through schemes such as the UK Emissions Trading Scheme, whose allowances have a market price. See what the carbon price is.
All seven UK carbon budgets
| Budget | Period | Limit (MtCO2e) | Cut on 1990 levels | Set by |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| First | 2008 to 2012 | 3,018 | About 23% | Carbon Budgets Order 2009 |
| Second | 2013 to 2017 | 2,782 | About 30% | Carbon Budgets Order 2009 |
| Third | 2018 to 2022 | 2,544 | About 38% | Carbon Budgets Order 2009 |
| Fourth | 2023 to 2027 | 1,950 | About 51% | Carbon Budget Order 2011 |
| Fifth | 2028 to 2032 | 1,725 | Not stated by the government | Carbon Budget Order 2016 |
| Sixth | 2033 to 2037 | 965 | About 76% | Carbon Budget Order 2021 |
| Seventh | 2038 to 2042 | 535 | About 87% | Carbon Budget Order 2026 |
Each limit covers five years in total, so the yearly average is a fifth of it. The seventh budget averages 107 MtCO2e a year, against 390 MtCO2e a year for the fourth.
The seventh carbon budget (2038 to 2042)
The Carbon Budget Order 2026 was made on 25 June 2026 and came into force on 26 June 2026. It sets the budget for 2038 to 2042 at 535,000,000 tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent, five days before the 30 June 2026 legal deadline.
The government says the level is in line with the advice of the Committee on Climate Change (now known as the Climate Change Committee), and that it includes the UK's share of international aviation and international shipping emissions.
Section 14 of the Act requires the government, as soon as is reasonably practicable after setting a budget, to lay a report before Parliament on its proposals and policies for meeting the current and future budgets up to that one. The government says a delivery plan for the seventh budget will be published as soon as is reasonably practicable.
Has the UK met its carbon budgets?
Yes, all three that have ended. Under section 18 of the Act, the government must lay a final statement before Parliament for each period, and that statement decides whether the budget was met.
| Budget | Limit (MtCO2e) | Net UK carbon account (MtCO2e) | Below the limit by | Final statement |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| First, 2008 to 2012 | 3,018 | 2,982 | 36 MtCO2e (1%) | May 2014 |
| Second, 2013 to 2017 | 2,782 | 2,398 | 384 MtCO2e (14%) | May 2019 |
| Third, 2018 to 2022 | 2,544 | 2,153 | 391 MtCO2e (15%) | May 2024 |
Over the third period, emissions measured by the net carbon account were on average 47% below base year levels. By 2022, the last year of the period, UK net greenhouse gas emissions were 50% below base year levels.
The fourth budget runs to the end of 2027. Its final statement must be laid before Parliament by 31 May 2029.
International aviation and shipping
The sixth carbon budget was the first to include the UK's share of emissions from international aviation and international shipping, and the first set on the path to net zero by 2050. The seventh also includes them. These emissions count towards the sixth and later budgets under the Climate Change Act 2008 (International Aviation and International Shipping) Regulations 2026 (SI 2026/727), in force from 1 July 2026.
UK domestic flights, flights between the UK and Gibraltar, flights from the UK to the European Economic Area and Switzerland, and since 1 July 2026 domestic shipping, are also covered by the UK ETS. See how the UK ETS works.
What carbon budgets mean for businesses
Carbon budgets place duties on the government, not on companies. Businesses feel them through the policies the government uses to stay within each budget. The Carbon Budget and Growth Delivery Plan, published on 29 October 2025, sets out how the government intends to meet the fourth, fifth and sixth budgets, up to 2037.
- Carbon pricing: the UK ETS for power, heavy industry, aviation and shipping, and the UK CBAM on some imports from 1 January 2027.
- Reporting: quoted companies, and large unquoted companies and LLPs, report energy use and emissions under SECR.
- Public contracts: central government buyers ask bidders for contracts worth more than £5 million a year, including VAT, for a Carbon Reduction Plan that commits to net zero by 2050.
Questions
What is the seventh carbon budget?
It is the limit on UK net greenhouse gas emissions for 2038 to 2042: 535 MtCO2e, set by the Carbon Budget Order 2026 on 25 June 2026. The government says it is about 87% below 1990 levels and includes international aviation and shipping.
Which carbon budget is the UK in now?
The fourth, which covers 2023 to 2027 and is set at 1,950 MtCO2e, about 51% below 1990 levels. Whether it was met will be confirmed in a final statement due by 31 May 2029.
Has the UK ever missed a carbon budget?
No. The final statements show the UK met the first three budgets, by 36 MtCO2e, 384 MtCO2e and 391 MtCO2e respectively.
Who sets UK carbon budgets?
The Secretary of State, by an order that both Houses of Parliament must approve. Before setting a budget the government must take into account the advice of the Committee on Climate Change and representations from the devolved administrations.
How far ahead are carbon budgets set?
For periods after 2022, a budget must be set by 30 June in the 12th year before the period starts. The seventh budget, for 2038 to 2042, had to be set by 30 June 2026.
Do carbon budgets apply to my business?
Not directly. They bind the government. Businesses are affected by the policies used to meet them, such as the UK ETS, UK CBAM, SECR reporting and Carbon Reduction Plans for public contracts.
Sources
- DESNZ: Carbon Budgets (updated 13 July 2026) (checked 28 October 2026)
- legislation.gov.uk: The Carbon Budget Order 2026 (SI 2026/695) (checked 28 October 2026)
- legislation.gov.uk: The Carbon Budget Order 2021 (SI 2021/750) (checked 28 October 2026)
- legislation.gov.uk: The Carbon Budget Order 2016 (SI 2016/785) (checked 28 October 2026)
- legislation.gov.uk: The Carbon Budget Order 2011 (SI 2011/1603) (checked 28 October 2026)
- legislation.gov.uk: The Carbon Budgets Order 2009 (SI 2009/1259) (checked 28 October 2026)
- legislation.gov.uk: Climate Change Act 2008, sections 1, 4, 8, 9, 14, 18 and 27 (checked 28 October 2026)
- legislation.gov.uk: The Climate Change Act 2008 (International Aviation and International Shipping) Regulations 2026 (SI 2026/727) (checked 28 October 2026)
- DESNZ: Final statement for the third carbon budget period (21 May 2024) (checked 28 October 2026)
- BEIS: Final statement for the second carbon budget period (23 May 2019) (checked 28 October 2026)
- DECC: Final statement for the first carbon budget period (13 May 2014) (checked 28 October 2026)
- DESNZ: Carbon budget and growth delivery plan (29 October 2025) (checked 28 October 2026)
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